As I prepare for a political panel at Howard University to be hosted by Roland Martin, I thought about why presidential candidates lose sleep and act like lunatics in preparation for Super Tuesday. Well, in spite of the fact that many liberals have already concluded that Republicans are crazy in general, some of the insanity may be legitimized by all that’s at stake on this particular day. Super Tuesday is the day where candidates can pick up more delegates than at any other time during the nomination process, and it’s also the day where his/her fate can become almost entirely sealed.
Super Tuesday measures a candidate’s ability to win a national election, since the voters come from a variety of backgrounds. Right now, the Republicans are hoping that a strong candidate emerges from Super Tuesday voting, since their prolonged battle has been a huge win for the Obama Administration. With Republican disarray and an improving economy, President Barack Obama is looking more and more like a shoe-in every day.
There are 410 delegates up for grabs on this Super Tuesday, which is more than 17 percent of the total. There is no candidate likely to take over the race, but there are enough delegates being granted to change the shape of the field. The biggest prize is Ohio, which has the most delegates. Virginia is also an interesting state, since Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum were unable to get on the ballot. This should make this territory easy pickings for Mitt Romney, who would probably not win the state otherwise.
What makes this election so beautiful for President Obama is that the Republican front-runner, Mitt Romney, has more chinks in his armor than a used-up can of Coke. Romney has the organizational skills and funding necessary to run a powerful political machine, but he is not the kind of candidate that Republicans can get excited about. He appeals heavily to Mormons, educated folks, and people in the Northeast, but hardly creates enthusiasm among hard-core Republicans or those from the working class. Should Romney go on to win and choose the correct running mate, it would only be then that he might have a chance to challenge President Obama.
The best thing that can happen for Romney is for him to win Tennessee and/or Ohio, which might encourage other Republicans to line up behind him. My prediction? Romney won’t be able to pull it off, creating a longer downhill ride for the party. Super Tuesday won’t be good for Republicans.