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NEW YORK — The sexual assault charges that cost Dominique Strauss-Kahn his job as head of the International Monetary Fund likely will be dropped by prosecutors, a person familiar with the case has said.

The likely developments would bring a formal end to the case at Strauss-Kahn’s next court date on Tuesday, when prosecutors may ask a judge to dismiss the charges and might elaborate on their reasoning.

The Manhattan District Attorney’s office probably will tell Strauss-Kahn’s accuser Monday that it won’t pursue the case, both because prosecutors don’t have evidence proving a forced sexual encounter and because she has a history of lies and inconsistencies that make it impossible to ask a jury to believe her, the person said. The person spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss matters not yet made public.

The case upended French politics before it was riven by questions about his accuser’s credibility. It captured international attention as a seeming cauldron of sex, violence, power and politics: A promising French presidential contender, known in his homeland as “the Great Seducer,” accused of a brutal and contemptuous attack on an African immigrant who came to clean his plush hotel suite. The stakes were high for both Strauss-Kahn – who resigned his IMF post, spent nearly a week behind bars and then spent possibly hundreds of thousands of dollars on house arrest – and for DA Cyrus R. Vance Jr., who was handling the biggest case he has had during his 18 months in office.

One of Strauss-Kahn’s lawyers, Benjamin Brafman, didn’t immediately respond to an email message Sunday, after the New York Post first reported prosecutors’ likely decision to drop the case. The DA’s office declined to comment.

The hotel maid’s lawyer had predicted prosecutors would tell her Monday they were dropping the case. The attorney, Kenneth Thompson, told France’s RTL radio on Sunday that the woman, Nafissatou Diallo, “feels abandoned by the Manhattan District Attorney.” The questions raised about her credibility have made her feel “that she’s being investigated more than Strauss-Kahn,” he said.

Then considered a promising Socialist candidate for the French presidency, Strauss-Kahn, 62, was arrested in May. Diallo, 32, said the diplomat chased her down and forced her to perform oral sex when she arrived to clean his plush suite at the Sofitel hotel.

Strauss-Kahn denied the allegations. Brafman and fellow Strauss-Kahn lawyer William W. Taylor III have said anything that happened wasn’t forced. Thompson calls that “utter nonsense.”

Like many sexual assault cases, in which the accused and accuser are often the only eyewitnesses, the Strauss-Kahn case has hinged heavily on the woman’s believability.

Early on, prosecutors stressed that Diallo had provided “a compelling and unwavering story” replete with “very powerful details” and buttressed by forensic evidence; his semen was found on her uniform. The police commissioner said seasoned detectives had found her credible.

But then prosecutors said July 1 they’d found the maid had told them a series of troubling falsehoods, including a persuasive but phony account of having been gang-raped in her native Guinea. She said she was echoing a story she’d told to enhance her 2003 application for political asylum. She told interviewers she was raped in her homeland under other circumstances and embellished it to get herself and her 15-year-old daughter a chance at a better life in the U.S.

She also wasn’t consistent about what she did after her encounter with Strauss-Kahn, telling a grand jury she had hovered in a hallway when she actually returned to his and another room before consulting her boss, prosecutors said. She said the alleged discrepancy was a misunderstanding.

Furthermore, she had alluded to Strauss-Kahn’s wealth in a recorded phone conversation with a jailed friend, and her bank account had been a repository for tens of thousands of dollars she couldn’t explain, a law enforcement official has said.

She said the jailed man had used the bank account without telling her. As for the phone call, her lawyer, Kenneth Thompson, said she mentioned Strauss-Kahn’s money only to say that her alleged attacker was influential.

Overall, Diallo said she had made some mistakes, but they shouldn’t dissuade prosecutors from pressing ahead with the case.

Meanwhile, she sued Strauss-Kahn Aug. 8, seeking unspecified damages and promising to air other allegations that Strauss-Kahn accosted and attacked women in other locales.

His lawyers called her suit a meritless claim that proved she was out for money. Diallo said she was standing up for herself and other women.

“What happened to me, I don’t want it to happen to any other woman, because this is just too much for me,” she said during a July 28 appearance at a Brooklyn Christian center.

After saying last month that questions about her credibility had weakened the criminal case, prosecutors found themselves in a standoff with their key witness as the public dissected their handling of the case.

Even among legal experts, there’s been a divide about what the DA should do. To some, the combination of maid Diallo’s damaged credibility and her lawsuit were too high a hurdle for prosecutors to keep the case going.

But others saw reasons for prosecutors to press ahead.

The DA’s office has said prosecutors did the right thing “at every step of the way”: first by pursuing what they saw as a credible allegation, supported by DNA evidence, and then by promptly disclosing the doubts they had developed.

In Europe, the case has stirred questions about Strauss-Kahn’s dealings with women, soul-searching about what some see as a political culture of masculine privilege, and a fresh criminal complaint from French novelist Tristane Banon, who says Strauss-Kahn tried to rape her in 2002. His lawyers have called her account “imaginary.” French authorities have been investigating it, and New York prosecutors met at one point with Banon’s lawyer.

The Associated Press generally doesn’t name people who report being sexually assaulted unless they agree to be identified or publicly identify themselves, as Diallo and Banon have done.


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