Recent polling shows that despite the disastrous tax code, manufacturing plants like General Motors laying off thousands of people, the coal industry crashing and 45’s promises, uneducated white voters were still unwavering in their blind support of Donald Trump.
According to CNN, whites without a college degree support Trump in double digits over every other presidential candidate:
Trump +13% over Biden
Trump +15% over Buttigieg
Trump +16% over O’Rourke
Trump +17% over Sanders
Trump +28% over Harris
Trump +34% over Warren
Trump +37% over Clinton ’16
Well, as Trump said on the campaign trail, “I love the poorly educated!”
Of course, these numbers weren’t shocking. But this doesn’t not mean there isn’t any hope in 2022. Here is some perspective. In 2016, Trump garnered fewer votes than any Republican candidate in 16 years: 59.2 million people voted for Trump, 60.9 million voted for Mitt Romney, 60 million voted for John McCain, and 62 million voted for George W. Bush.
An increase in the number of eligible Black voters may set the stage for a Trump loss in 2020, according to The States Of Change report, which was authored by several groups including the Center for American Progress and the Bipartisan Policy Center. For example, voting blocs — including African-Americans, Latinos and Asians — will have more of a share of the total eligible vote by 2020. The groups will grow one percentage point, with Blacks going from 12 percent in 2016 to 13 in 2020, the report revealed.
As the voter segments expand, the percentage of eligible “White without a college degree” voters will drop by 2 points, from 46 percent to 44. Trump is largely reliant on that voting group in 2016.
Yes, there is still an overwhelmingly white majority of eligible voters, but changes in turnout and support among Black voters in 2020 could put Trump at a disadvantage.
Black turnout and the Democrats’ margin of support with African Americans have both dropped by a significant amount in 2016 when Trump was elected, NBC News reported. If more Black Americans voted, especially with the fight to restore voting rights to ex-felons, like in Florida, going on in states across the nation, the election results could be different.
All is not lost. Be an educated voter, encourage people in your community to vote and turn out in every election from now until November 2020.