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As the presidential race heats up, a new CNN/ORC Poll shows Republican candidate Donald Trump with a substantial lead among those likely to vote in the party’s South Carolina primary on Saturday.

Meanwhile, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton bests rival Bernie Sanders by 18 points among likely voters in next week’s Democratic primary.

From CNN:

In the Republican race, Trump, at 38 percent, tops Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who holds second place with 22 percent. Behind those two, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio garners 14 percent support, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is at 10 percent, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has 6 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 4 percent.

Trump’s lead is bolstered by widespread perceptions of him as the candidate best able to handle the economy, immigration and ISIS, and further, that he has the best chance to win in November and would be most likely to change the way things work in Washington.


Clinton’s lead rests heavily on the state’s black voters and women. Both groups made up a majority of voters in the 2008 primary there. Among black voters, she leads 65 percent to 28 percent, and among women, she leads 60 percent to 33 percent. White voters break in Sanders’ favor, 54 percent for the Vermont senator to 40 percent for the former secretary of state, while men are about evenly divided between the two, 49 percent Clinton to 45 percent Sanders.

The poll was conducted by telephone February 10-15 among a random sample of 1,006 adult residents in South Carolina. Results among the 404 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. For results among the 280 likely Democratic primary voters, it is plus or minus 6 percentage points, the report says.



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